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RADIO 4 CURRENT AFFAIRS ANALYSIS LOOK AFTER YOURSELF TRANSCRIPT OF A RECORDED DOCUMENTARY Presenter: David Walker Producer: Dennis Sewell Editor: Nicola Meyrick BBC White City 201 Wood Lane London W12 7TS 020 8752 6252 Broadcast Date: 04.03.04 Repeat Date: 07.03.04 Tape Number: PLN408/04VT1009 Duration: 27’42” Taking part in order of appearance: Anna Coote Director of Public Health, the King’s Fund Sian Griffiths President of the Faculty of Public Health Medicine Geoff Rayner Chair of UK Public Health Association Kate Fox Director of Social Issues Research Centre, Oxford Mike Kelly Director of Evidence and Guidance for Health Development Agency Jonathan Wolff Professor of Philosophy at University College, London WALKER: If you smoke, drink, eat fewer than five portions of fruit and veg a day and if your body mass index is outside the green zone on the nurse’s chart, you’re currently the focus of reports galore and frantic policy making. Anna Coote, director of public health at the think tank, the King’s Fund, is mighty busy. COOTE: I would say that there’s more interest now in improving population health than there has been at any time since I’ve been engaged in public policy work, which is going on for fifteen years now. And before that. I mean, as far as I’m aware - I think probably since they worked on the drains in London. WALKER: In the 19th century? Seriously? COOTE: Mmn. WALKER: Why? COOTE: Well I think it’s to do with a moment where the government, the Treasury in particular, have woken up to the fact that they cannot go on pouring money into the bottomless pit of the NHS to look after people when they’re ill and that there is a link between a healthier population and the volume of demand on NHS services which will, if the health of the population is improved, help to reduce spending on the NHS in the future. They’ve woken up to that. WALKER: There’s an avalanche of official inquiries. Last week Derek Wanless told chancellor Gordon Brown how changing behaviour now could slash NHS costs a generation hence. The prime minister’s strategy unit is due to report on the demon drink. Alcohol is tricky. What goes on in pubs may damage health but also help regenerate inner cities. For some doctors the blue light is flashing. Four out of five deaths under the age of 75 are down to diseases where diet, exercise and smoking play a major part. Two thirds of English men are overweight; one in seven children is obese. Those are epidemic proportions says Sian Griffiths, president of the faculty of public health medicine. GRIFFITHS: If you look at an epidemic of communicable disease, you see the numbers suddenly go shooting up. If you just expand the timescale, the obesity picture looks almost the same; the numbers are going shooting up. It’s then what’s the intervention that controls the disease which will make it fall again. Now for obesity, we think we’re still on the epidemic curve increasing – we see no movement. So if you look at it just as a sort of pattern of disease, what it does it says there is an issue here, we need to act. WALKER: While new strains of influenza or SARS give rise to real epidemics, crisps aren’t infectious. So yes, it is different now says Geoff Rayner, chair of the UK Public Health Association. RAYNER: We’ve moved into the terrain of what’s called in the jargon non-communicable diseases – for the rest of us chronic disease. And if you look at a society like America where over two thirds of the population is overweight, where despite their enormous wealth they’re having to spend more and more and more of the public purse and the private purse on healthcare and it’s projected that by 2011 some 17.4 percent of the American GNP – this is a fabulous figure – is going to be spent on healthcare, now a lot of that is the consequence of chronic diseases. Some of it is technology, some of it is ageing, but a lot of it is this huge influx of the new type of disease since roughly the 1960s and 70s. Obesity is the most visible form of it. It’s certainly a consequence of the new consumer society where people get rather detached from old patterns of nutrition and lifestyle and enter into a new era of commercialised entertainment, commercialised lifestyles, if you like, and commercialised food. It’s caused this thing that we refer to as the obesegenic society – a world all around us which makes it difficult for individuals to exercise real choices over their diets. We have, on the one hand, a culture of individualism; on the other hand more and more difficult for people to exercise full individual choices. That’s the paradox. WALKER: And if Geoff Rayner’s right, we need to watch what’s really at stake in this new public health debate. If it were just the Treasury getting us to eat apples so we don’t turn up in the diabetes clinic 20 years hence, that’s fiscal common sense. But there’s more. At issue are the nature of choice, the balance of public and private, individual interest and collective consequence, adaptation to affluence. What I’d like to diagnose in this programme is public health as a symptom, maybe a proxy for things that dare not speak their name, class and inequality for instance. Kate Fox is director of the Social Issues research centre in Oxford which, it’s open about this, will research questions posed by the food industry. Such as health scares. She’s an anthropologist and looks at behaviour over the long, evolutionary haul. FOX: The problem is that we as human beings are designed to in effect, programmed by our evolutionary heritage, to take risks, and in effect to be comfortable in our lives with a certain level of risk. There’s almost a sort of risk homeostasis. And the problem is that we are living longer and healthier and safer lives than we ever have before in human history and in a sense the fight flight muscle needs exercising. It’s why we take up dangerous sports … in affluent societies take up dangerous sports like bungee jumping and skiing and so on. Quite frankly, if our ancestors back in the Stone Age had adopted the precautionary principle, we wouldn’t have had fire, the wheel. All of these things required taking risks. I mean now, if we looked at the invention of the wheel, we wouldn’t do it if we adopted the precautionary principle. We’d say ooh gosh, that could cause a lot of problems. Fire – whoah, dangerous, don’t do it. But the fact is as a species we are programmed to be risk takers. WALKER: Health scares pander to our need to frighten ourselves, she’s saying; could it even be that by diverting us from risky behaviour, health promoters stop us learning from error? Ubiquitous but not necessarily consistent diet and health messages, in the media, from the government, ought to carry a health warning. FOX: I think we need to take a step back from this kind of elitist moralising of the sort of making working classes eat up their greens and so on, assume that everyone is just as intelligent as you are in terms of their response to these kind of messages, take a step back and actually start to look rather more seriously at the causes of obesity because it just isn’t as simple as banning this or warning people about that. The rise of obesity has paralleled the rise in heavy-handed messages about what we should and shouldn’t eat, and to say that people are becoming obese in spite of all of these health messages, it might be more sensible to turn that on its head and look at perhaps people are becoming more obese because of the kind of fear of food, obsession with food that is being promoted. WALKER: And do those who link obesity (as a number of other conditions) with low income and social class and say that many of these problems are actually problems of inequality, you would say …? FOX: I would agree entirely with that. I mean I think tackling child poverty is obviously a lot more expensive. I mean the problem is that we’re talking about families on low incomes, working mothers. These are the people who have less time and less money, who can’t go out and buy all these wonderful organic ingredients and so on that are so much better for you because they can’t afford them. And also harassed, overworked don’t have the time to prepare perfectly balanced meals and so on every evening and simply telling them that packaged food and fast food and so on is bad is supremely unhelpful and isn’t going to do the slightest bit of good. But the trouble is that tackling inequalities and poverty is a lot more expensive and less dramatic than having yet another health promotion campaign. WALKER: It’s striking how under the label of “health”, we talk about things -- social division for example -- that otherwise are considered taboo. Kate Fox’s phrase about the working classes eating their greens is anachronistic but also a reminder that some social facts don’t change, more sickness in lower income households for instance. Mike Kelly is director of evidence for the Health Development Agency, the government body charged with getting out messages about good practice. What is this: a health or a class debate? KELLY: While over the last fifty years we’ve seen the health of the population of Great Britain improve as a whole, generally speaking, on whatever measure you use – quality of life, early death or anything else – at the same time, especially in the last thirty years, we’ve seen the gradient in inequalities – in other words the difference between the most advantaged and the least advantaged in health terms getting worse. And that’s the key conundrum in public health: the overall improvement – things getting better and better – but, at the same time, for a significant proportion of the population things either not getting better at all or actually getting worse. WALKER: If a principal source of bad health is associated with economic circumstance, shouldn’t one attend to the socio- economic condition of people – how much money they’ve got basically – rather than worry initially about their health? KELLY: Oh certainly. There’s no doubt that the relationship between the economic circumstances is more or less a direct one, but - as always - the picture’s slightly more complex than that. When you have a situation in which the causes of death are directly attributable to the extremes of poverty and therefore to things like infectious disease, then the broader social structural factors, which can be led by direct government policy in housing and social circumstances, have a very significant and big effect. When you move into an environment where the causes of death are attributable to non-infectious diseases – and presently that, of course, means death rates from coronary heart disease and cancer – the social conditions still are very important but they seem to play a less immediate and less direct role than they did in an earlier historical period. So as we move into the 21st century, we have to take on board not just the structural factors but also the factors relating to the way we deliver healthcare, access to healthcare and of course individual behaviour. WALKER: Here we’re not just into politics but the texture of consumer society. Sociologists tell us some young people derive their very identity from leisure and what they do on a Friday night: that means they are what they drink. Should government stop them? Can we, at one and the same time, extol people’s right to choose how they live, what they buy, the proof of the alcopops they consume and say the State should step in when choice harms health? KELLY: Yes of course we’re all capable of making choices and yes of course to suggest otherwise would be patronising, but there is a sting in the tail of that which says you know when we make those choices for some of us it’s a great deal easier and we can draw upon a great many more resources both economic, intellectual and otherwise in order to make those sorts of things effective. WALKER: Are we in danger of being mealy- mouthed here? Is the link between income and ill health causal or are cultural factors at play? Does anyone dare say that low income households, formerly called working class, can’t be trusted in the supermarket aisles or the off licence cabinets? Anna Coote of the King’s Fund. COOTE: Why do people so-called choose to have McDonalds every day? What are all the things that you would need to do if you wanted to give a family in a disadvantaged neighbourhood the choice, a real choice to choose something other than cheap junk food? Now if you think back along the pathway that would lead to that choice, there are plenty of things that government and organisations in the community could do to make that choice an open choice and not a closed one. It’s certainly not only about the price of the food. It’s about what you know, it’s about how much time you’ve got, it’s about how far away from your home the food is, about the convenience of being able to buy it and cook it. So all those things. It’s about the way that children’s tastes are developed in their early life. So all sorts of things can be done to affect that - the most obvious being school meals. Most schools do not feed children very nutritious meals. Most schools do not for, often for understandable reasons, put a lot of energy into giving children the education that they might need that would enable them to choose healthier food to eat because it’s not a priority. WALKER: Some people might say that’s idealistic. It certainly tells us that doing anything about health-related behaviour is going to be hugely complicated. It will involve communities (assuming they exist), school meals, buses to shops, women’s time and so on. But have we answered the jibe about public health being essentially an elitist business in which those who know what’s right tell others how to behave? The people who make it often also say choice is unbounded. And of course it isn’t: diet depends on income; in a market society resources constrain choice all the time. Why not make a virtue of controlling choice, asks the philosopher Jonathan Wolff, a professor at University College, London WOLFF: If government wants to change people’s behaviour, what it needs to do is to make it easier for people to act in the ways that they want those people to act. It takes incredible self- sacrifice for a young kid to buy salad rather than fish and chips at lunchtime, but if salad was all that was on offer then it would be much easier for them to do the right thing. So it’s a matter really of creating the sort of structures in which people can make the right choices without sacrifice rather than giving them a wide array of things and then expecting them to choose in a sacrificial way. WALKER: Government is increasingly trying to set an example. Prison and NHS food is being scrutinised and ‘healthy choices’ flagged up. But for the public at large a precondition of a government-ordered diet of lettuce is confidence that Whitehall, or local authorities or primary care trusts do know better. In other words we accept medical expertise, experts’ superior knowledge and the state’s veracity. Better them, some might say, than the makers of that soup found the other day to be saltier than the ocean. Geoff Rayner listens to a cacophony of voices, advertisers among them, seducing us with biscuits and crisps. RAYNER: I see that there are two types of health promotion in the country. There’s the sort of the anti-health promotion – the negative health promotion, which is this mass, this wall of information projected at children and everybody to consume this, consume that, particularly crisps, sugary drinks, fatty foods, salty this, salty that. All of these things have constituents in them we don’t know about, we’re not informed about. We don’t know how much salt there is in a loaf of bread, but it’s likely to be twice as much as we actually should have. So while we’re told we’re making informed choices, it’s quite the opposite. These choices are made in laboratories. You know , they’re made by marketing people and they’re sold to us as all we have to is exercise our choice in the marketplace and our problems are solved. That’s a fantasy world really. If we really looked into it and looked into our souls, we know it’s very difficult to actually take the healthy choice. And we’re all affected. I am tempted by a packet of kettle fried whatever crisps as much as anybody else and it is difficult to resist. So I don’t think we should make the separation of the middle classes, who are well informed, except the middle classes have more control over their lives. They feel more secure. They are less tempted because they feel ‘we’ve actually achieved something. We can control that, therefore we can control this’. So often they can’t. WALKER: But what is he saying about those tempting crisps. Should they just tell us how much salt and fat they contain (and packets these days are pretty informative) or is he saying that government should ban them from the shelves? That could sound not so much like nanny as big brother. The proposal here is for a significant extension of the State’s remit and a corresponding reduction in individual autonomy and market discretion. Anna Coote thinks we’re at a tipping point. COOTE: I don’t think we should underestimate the value of getting really strong messages from central government, which we are now beginning to hear. I don’t know how long this is going to go on for, but while it’s here let’s be optimistic. I do think government could be a lot more bold about it and what it does about some of the commercial interests. For example, if you take food producers and retailers, the government should put more pressure on them by saying, look, if you haven’t got your house in order, if you’re not going to reduce the content of fat and sugar and salt in your products by let’s say two years, we’ll give you that length of time to do it voluntarily; if you don’t do it , we’re going to legislate. WALKER: Here’s a muscular prescription for state intervention. If leaks about a “fat tax” are at all accurate, it’s one Dr. Blair is at least considering. But I wonder if there’s anything yet like a consensus on the public’s part to underpin such an extension of the welfare state. Some medics are unabashed advocates of action. And they don’t just mean posters and television advertisements. Our crusader is the public health doctors’ president, Sian Griffiths. GRIFFITHS: I don’t think just relying on people to change their behaviour will improve health because I think that we know it doesn’t work. I don’t think just providing information will change people’s behaviour in terms of health consequences upstream because, again, well so far we haven’t seen it working. What we need is to have environments that are health promoting, and to have an environment that’s self-promoting you have to address issues around social inequalities as well as issues like advertising on television which is sort of generic and not particularly class biased. But there are particular issues, if you’re looking at the public’s health, where you have to look at the impact of disadvantage, be it for an age group like older people or be it for an ethnic minority group or be it for unemployed people or be it for people who are just less well off. From a public health perspective, I would find it very hard to say to you that inequalities don’t matter, social factors don’t matter. And I think that it may be seen as inherently Left Wing. However, for me it’s just an analysis of how you improve the population’s health. WALKER: State activism, so the doctor orders, is of two kinds: direct intervention in markets and over consumer choices plus measures to address inequalities. That, as Sian Griffiths admitted, is to take a distinct political position, which many doctors of course don’t. There’s an argument about political hygiene here, too. Health should not be used as an excuse. If it’s about the size of government, control of markets and constraint of individualism, let’s confront those old and big questions directly. But all that may be premature. There are distinct limits to what governments can do even if they wanted to. If we don’t trust them, why pay attention to public health broadcasts? Sex, drugs and chips may even acquire allure when they urge us to say no. Kate Fox of the Social Issues Research Centre looks quizzically at what the record shows about our willingness to heed safety advice. FOX: We found three quite separate and, to some extent, contradictory side effects. The majority of people suffer from what I call warning fatigue – in other words they become desensitised, habituated to these kinds of messages. And that is a dangerous effect in itself because obviously it’s like crying wolf: when there is really a wolf, sorry you’ve lost your audience. If you think about it, if the Doll Peto research on smoking and lung cancer were to come out now, how would anyone be able to distinguish that from the background noise of mobile phones are going to fry your brains, GM foods are going to turn you into Frankenstein’s monster, etcetera, etcetera, that are coming out everyday? It’s impossible for most people, myself included a lot of the time, to distinguish between sensible messages and background noise of over zealous and over productive health promotion. But there’s a second effect, which is almost the opposite of that – a slightly smaller group of people, largely middle class, who seem to suffer from something we call risk factor phobia. In other words rather than being desensitised they, if anything, become hyper sensitised to these kind of messages and start becoming neurotic, hypochondriac, worrying about the risk factors inherent in everything that they eat or drink or breathe or touch. And these are the kind of people who would have responded when there was in 95 the pill scare. I think there was a nine percent rise in the abortion rate and that was you know your risk factor phobics seeing one scary headline about the pill, going off the pill and getting pregnant. Also something that doctors call muesli belt malnutrition – you know mothers who are sort of feeding their children low fat, high fibre diets that are quite inappropriate for young children, so actually becoming malnourished in this land of plenty. The third side effect is well known – the forbidden fruit factor – and this is one of the main reasons why a lot of these kind of heavy-handed campaigns simply don’t work. It’s because people – myself included – tend to become defiant. Rise in teenage smoking is almost parallel with a rise in heavy-handed anti-smoking campaigns. I would put myself firmly into that category. I don’t like being told what to do and I tend to do the opposite almost out of a sense of perverseness. WALKER: The prime minister’s own strategy unit has just published a report noting how even when offered information and guidance a significant proportion of people don’t choose the healthier option. Their lives are just too complicated or they are downright perverse. So while experts, the government, know more in general, they may lack a prescription for individual circumstances. Philosopher, Jonathan Wolff. WOLFF: The State or state scientists can know things that the rest of us don’t know. Knowledge about sexually transmitted diseases, for example, is perhaps the modern equivalent – that there are sexually transmitted diseases that are initially symptomless and without publicity campaigns the public simply wouldn’t have known about this, which would have led to – and perhaps is leading to – massive increase in infertility among a generation. And so there is technical knowledge that the government can have and that we still need public health measures to protect us, so there are very large areas where the government can claim some sort of superior knowledge still. I think that we still don’t know enough about nutrition and fitness to know what is good for people in the long-term. I mean when I think about my own medical problems, most of these are the result of trying to keep fit and if I hadn’t tried to keep fit I probably wouldn’t have had half the physical problems that I have had, so in my own case I might have been better just smoking and drinking rather than trying to take exercise and that could have been cheaper for the state as well. WALKER: Gone are the days, it seems, when generic messages hit the spot. People may talk about the visual impact of those TV pictures of arteries oozing goo, but the moment your hand reaches for the cigarette packet or opens the fridge another, intensely personal calculus applies, way beyond the reach of propaganda. Public health is, paradoxically, a private matter. But combinations of individual advice, from GPs say, group support and billboards can change behaviour. Mike Kelly has the evidence. KELLY: What we do know in terms of the sorts of things that work with respect to smoking or to exercise or to diet is that interventions which are tailored to the particular needs of the groups in question, to the people in question, which are targeted very specifically, which are soundly based upon good psychological principles are much more likely to be effective than broad brush approaches, talking to the whole population. You can pick out a range of things which have been specifically quite successful – recent initiatives on nicotine replacement therapy and smoking cessation, for example. Very good evidence that that works. On exercise – very, very good evidence that brief interventions by general practitioners during routine medical consultations, talking about the benefits of physical activity, that that’s effective. And with respect to obesity, there’s very, very good evidence that family based approaches work. So there’s a knowledge base, actually a deep and strong knowledge base, which can highlight specific things which we know, if they’re implemented properly, will work. WALKER: But I wonder if the public health advocates mustn’t confront the political point. Their agenda, conceived in concern for public welfare, is interventionist. That’s no longer the old welfare state sense of cod liver oil and nit nurses; these days it’s about community involvement, product labelling and encouraging food manufacturers to cut salt content. Health advocates are also strong egalitarians. They want to turn society upside down, in terms of what they see as unfair health outcomes. Are political conditions now right, that is to say left, for this more active agenda? Ministers, John Reid the health secretary, do talk more about social justice but has the public bought the statism of the public health movement? Yes, says Mike Kelly of the Health Development Agency KELLY: We have a contract, if you like, with the state and with government. The government provides certain services and in return we give up certain of our freedoms to receive those services - whether it’s education or the franchise, whatever it is. And the same is true with respect to health. Now we could make choices, I suppose, as a society in which we said well we want to maintain that private sphere and the role of the state in helping to make it better should be limited. The consequences of making that decision in an extreme form would be to continue on the path in which we’re going. And the path on which we’re going is not one in which just there is a kind of moral or social justice issue about inequalities in health, which there undoubtedly is, but I think we need to move beyond that because if we continue with the same pattern of inequalities that we currently have and we do nothing about arresting the early mortality and more specifically even than that the prolongation of morbidity - the lengthy periods of ill health in old age that some people can expect to experience as a consequence of the kind of current trends we have - it’s unsustainable in terms of our National Health service to cope with it. The costs of that into the long run are unsustainable. So it’s not actually just a question of a nanny state interfering for our own good. In the long run, if we’re to make sense of this financially and politically, we have to do more and we have to do better than we’re doing now. WALKER: But it’s not going to be easy. It’s one thing for the state to provide health care, including statins for cardiovascular disease; it’s quite another for the state to intervene much further along the food chain. Maybe people’s anxiety about their waistlines will trump their distrust of government, and besides there’s no great public affection for food producers. Yet before this public health agenda really gets going, don’t we need some ideological readjustments, some new limits to individualism, justifications for government to constrain choice? In other words, the public has to assent to a definite shift in the political balance before its long run health improves. 13