"Mid and West Wales is the most rural of the five Welsh electoral regions and the one where support is most evenly divided between the political parties. Nonetheless six of the eight individual constituencies look safe for the party which won them at the 1997 general election. Brecon and Radnorshire has been a perpetual marginal since a by-election in 1985 and presents the Conservatives with their only realistic target in the region. Labour cannot be entirely discounted here either. In Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Plaid Cymru ran Labour surprisingly close in 1997 and must stand a chance of winning the seat in the context of a Welsh Assembly election. The top two Conservative list candidates are almost certain to gain seats, albeit as a reflection of the party’s failure to secure sufficient votes to win an individual constituency on a first past the post basis."