"Labour did well in Lothians at the 1997 general election, especially in Edinburgh itself. The party turned several marginal seats into safe ones and comfortably won Pentlands from the Conservatives. The Conservatives also lost their other seat in the capital, West, to the Liberal Democrats. Labour should win the bulk of the first past the post seats in the Scottish Parliament elections, with the SNP scooping the majority of the ‘top ups’. The nationalists will be handicapped in their quest to win individual seats by their low base in 1997 - their best showing was 27.5% of the vote in Livingston. The Liberal Democrats have a strong local organisation in Edinburgh West and will be helped by the city council elections being held on the same day. The Conservatives only need a 5% swing to retake Pentlands, but there is no evidence that their support has recovered sufficiently since the general election."