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Results & Constituencies
 
 Carmarthen East & Dinefwr
Other Plaid Cymru gain from Labour
Name Party Votes % +/- %
Adam Price Plaid Cymru 16,130 42.4 +7.8
Alan Williams Labour 13,540 35.6 -7.3
David Thomas Conservative 4,912 12.9 +0.9
Doiran Evans Liberal Democrat 2,815 7.4 -0.1
Mike Squires UK Independence 656 1.7  
Majority 2,590 6.8
Turnout 38,053 70.4 -8.2
Swing
Against 1997 General Election 7.6% from Labour to Plaid Cymru
Lab-Con (against 1997) 4.1% from Labour to Conservative
Against 1999 devolution poll 7.2% from Plaid Cymru to Labour

Description
This is one of Wales's most volatile seats. In its previous form, as Carmarthen, it was the site Plaid Cymru's first-ever Westminster election victory, in the by-election of 1966.

Prior to that, it had been held for Labour since another by-election in 1957 by David Lloyd George's daughter, Megan.

It was then lost to Labour in 1970, whose candidate retained it by three votes in 1974 - the second smallest winning margin in UK General Elections since 1945. It has remained in Labour hands since 1979 although the Conservatives came close in 1983. Plaid Cymru has posed an increasing threat over the last two general elections.

In the Assembly elections, Plaid won the seat, with a majority of 21.4%. This is Plaid's top target seat. It would take a 4.1% swing from Labout to topple Alan Williams.

Economically, the seat comprises rural farming areas to the west, which have been badly hit by recent agricultural crises, and traditional mining communities in the east.

Carmarthenshire is a strongly Welsh-speaking area, with 54% able to speak the language, and claiming the largest total number of Welsh speakers of any Welsh local authority.

Past Results

1997 General Election
 Carmarthen East & Dinefwr
Labour hold
Name Party Votes %
Alan Williams Labour 17,907 42.9
Rhodri Glyn Thomas Plaid Cymru 14,457 34.6
Edmund Hayward Conservative 5,022 12.0
Juliana Hughes Liberal Democrat 3,150 7.5
Ian Humphreys-Evans Referendum 1,196 2.9
Majority 3,450 8.3
Turnout 41,732 78.6
1999 Welsh Assembly Election
 Carmarthen East & Dinefwr
Plaid Cymru win
Name Party Votes %
Rhodri Thomas Plaid Cymru 17,328 53.0
Chris Llewelyn Labour 10,348 31.7
Helen Stoddart Conservative 2,776 8.5
Juliana Hughes Liberal Democrat 2,202 6.7
Majority 6,980 21.3
Turnout 32,654 61.2
 
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