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Results & Constituencies
 
 Cardiff North
Other Labour hold
Name Party Votes % +/- %
Julie Morgan Labour 19,845 45.9 -4.5
Alastair Watson Conservative 13,680 31.6 -2.1
John Dixon Liberal Democrat 6,631 15.3 +4.4
Sion Jobbins Plaid Cymru 2,471 5.7 +3.2
Don Hulston UK Independence 613 1.4  
Majority 6,165 14.3
Turnout 43,240 69.0 -11.2
Swing
Against 1997 General Election 1.2% from Labour to Conservative
Against 1999 devolution poll 3.5% from Conservative to Labour

Description
Since 1950, this seat has mainly favoured the Conservatives, with only two periods of Labour control - Ted Rowlands in the 1960s and Julie Morgan, who was elected at the last election.

However, during the 1980s, both the Liberal Democrats and Labour chipped away at the Tory lead, with significant gains in the 1992 election, reducing the Conservative majority by a third.

This was part of a trend, which since 1983 has seen Labour gain just 10% more votes on average at each election.

Julie Morgan's victory in 1997 followed a swing of 11.5%.

Two years later, Labour also won the seat in the Assembly. The Conservatives also regained some ground on the local government level in 1999, increasing their representation from one, to five Councillors.

To regain the Westminster seat from Labour would require a swing of 8.4%.

Cardiff North has some of the capital city's most prosperous residential areas, incorporating the leafy suburbs of Llanishen, Rhiwbina and Whitchurch.

Largely middle class, the constituency has an older and ageing electorate.

The Welsh-speaking population here in 1991 was 8.3% - higher than the other Cardiff constituencies, reflecting the increasing numbers of professional and middle class Welsh-speakers employed in the capital.

Past Results

1997 General Election
 Cardiff North
Labour gain from Conservative
Name Party Votes %
Julie Morgan Labour 24,460 50.4
Gwilym Jones Conservative 16,334 33.7
Robyn Rowland Liberal Democrat 5,294 10.9
Colin Palfrey Plaid Cymru 1,201 2.5
Edward Litchfield Referendum 1,199 2.5
Majority 8,126 16.8
Turnout 48,488 80.2
1999 Welsh Assembly Election
 Cardiff North
Labour win
Name Party Votes %
Sue Essex Labour 12,198 38.7
Jonathan Morgan Conservative 9,894 31.4
Alastair Meikle Liberal Democrat 5,088 16.1
Colin Mann Plaid Cymru 4,337 13.7
Majority 2,304 7.3
Turnout 31,517 51.6
 
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