Anti-immigration party the Pim Fortuyn List is expected to achieve at least 16% of the vote in the May 2002 general election.
Its maverick leader Pim Fortuyn was assassinated in early May.
Fortuyn did not fit the traditional stereotype of other European far-right politicians - he was openly gay and espoused many liberal policies.
Strongly anti-Islamic, Mr Fortuyn wanted to cut immigration levels. He appeared to have some appeal among the young: nearly 50% of a poll of 18 to 30-year-olds in one Dutch newspaper said they wanted to see a complete end to Muslim immigration.
Mr Fortuyn picked up about 30% of the votes after standing as a candidate in Rotterdam's municipal elections. Polls before and after his assassination suggest that the Pim Fortuyn List could win enough seats to become a significant political force.