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BBC Election 2005

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Last Updated: Friday, 24 June, 2005, 09:43 GMT 10:43 UK

If Michael Howard is to end his party's eight year spell out of office he needs to take all the seats shown here, and not lose any others. This would give him a majority in the new House of Commons.

These 159 seats are those most likely to fall to the Conservatives based on the results from 2001 and boundary changes in Scotland.

Seats gained graph

Conservative targets

Live results
Live results
Live results
Live results
Live results
Live results

Seats lost
Target seats

No. Constituency Gain from   New majority
4 Braintree LAB   7.3%
5 Weston-Super-Mare LD   4.2%
7 Monmouth LAB   9.9%
9 Lancaster & Wyre LAB   8.0%
10 Guildford LD   0.7%
11 Kettering LAB   5.9%
14 Northampton South LAB   8.1%
16 Devon West & Torridge LD   5.5%
18 Welwyn Hatfield LAB   13.3%
19 Shipley LAB   0.9%
20 Clwyd West LAB   0.4%
21 Bexleyheath & Crayford LAB   10.7%
22 Ludlow LD   4.4%
23 Milton Keynes North East LAB   3.3%
24 Hornchurch LAB   1.3%
26 Hammersmith & Fulham LAB   10.2%
28 Forest of Dean LAB   4.3%
29 Wellingborough LAB   1.3%
30 Newbury LD   6.3%
33 Ilford North LAB   3.8%
34 Rugby & Kenilworth LAB   2.9%
36 Harwich LAB   1.8%
43 Peterborough LAB   6.6%
44 Shrewsbury & Atcham LAB   3.6%
47 Scarborough & Whitby LAB   2.7%
49 Preseli Pembrokeshire LAB   1.6%
52 Putney LAB   4.8%
53 Hemel Hempstead LAB   1.1%
58 The Wrekin LAB   2.1%
59 Croydon Central LAB   0.2%
61 Wimbledon LAB   5.3%
74 St Albans LAB   3.0%
86 Gravesham LAB   1.4%
96 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale LAB   3.9%
108 Reading East LAB   1.1%
114 Enfield Southgate LAB   4.1%
Constituency Lost to New majority
Solihull   LD 0.5%
Taunton   LD 1.0%
Westmorland & Lonsdale   LD 0.5%
2001 Results   2005 Results
No. Constituency Majority Party   Party New majority
1 Cheadle 0.1% LD   LD 8.5 %
2 Dumfries and Galloway 0.3% LAB   LAB 5.7 %
3 Dorset South 0.3% LAB   LAB 3.7 %
4 Braintree 0.7% LAB   CON 7.3 %
5 Weston-Super-Mare 0.7% LD   CON 4.2 %
6 Norfolk North 0.9% LD   LD 18.0 %
7 Monmouth 0.9% LAB   CON 9.9 %
8 Dorset Mid & Poole North 0.9% LD   LD 12.1 %
9 Lancaster & Wyre 0.9% LAB   CON 8.0 %
10 Guildford 1.1% LD   CON 0.7 %
11 Kettering 1.2% LAB   CON 5.9 %
12 Somerton & Frome 1.3% LD   LD 1.5 %
13 Angus 1.5% SNP   SNP 4.2 %
14 Northampton South 1.7% LAB   CON 8.1 %
15 Brecon & Radnorshire 2% LD   LD 10.2 %
16 Devon West & Torridge 2.1% LD   CON 5.5 %
17 Hereford 2.2% LD   LD 2.1 %
18 Welwyn Hatfield 2.8% LAB   CON 13.3 %
19 Shipley 3.1% LAB   CON 0.9 %
20 Clwyd West 3.2% LAB   CON 0.4 %
21 Bexleyheath & Crayford 3.6% LAB   CON 10.7 %
22 Ludlow 3.8% LD   CON 4.4 %
23 Milton Keynes North East 3.9% LAB   CON 3.3 %
24 Hornchurch 4.2% LAB   CON 1.3 %
25 Selby 4.3% LAB   LAB 0.9 %
26 Hammersmith & Fulham 4.5% LAB   CON 10.2 %
27 Thanet South 4.5% LAB   LAB 1.6 %
28 Forest of Dean 4.6% LAB   CON 4.3 %
29 Wellingborough 4.6% LAB   CON 1.3 %
30 Newbury 4.8% LD   CON 6.3 %
31 Romsey 4.9% LD   LD 0.2 %
32 Teignbridge 5.1% LD   LD 10.2 %
33 Ilford North 5.3% LAB   CON 3.8 %
34 Rugby & Kenilworth 5.3% LAB   CON 2.9 %
35 Gillingham 5.4% LAB   LAB 0.6 %
36 Harwich 5.4% LAB   CON 1.8 %
37 Enfield North 6% LAB   LAB 4.7 %
38 Devon North 6.1% LD   LD 9.6 %
39 Eastleigh 6.4% LD   LD 1.1 %
40 Moray 5.1% SNP   SNP 14.6 %
41 Calder Valley 6.5% LAB   LAB 2.9 %
42 Redditch 6.7% LAB   LAB 6.7 %
43 Peterborough 7.2% LAB   CON 6.6 %
44 Shrewsbury & Atcham 7.2% LAB   CON 3.6 %
45 Southport 7.3% LD   LD 9.3 %
46 Dartford 7.4% LAB   LAB 1.5 %
47 Scarborough & Whitby 7.5% LAB   CON 2.7 %
48 Hove 7.6% LAB   LAB 0.9 %
49 Preseli Pembrokeshire 8% LAB   CON 1.6 %
50 Bristol West 8% LAB   LD 8.9 %
51 Gloucester 8% LAB   LAB 8.2 %
52 Putney 8.1% LAB   CON 4.8 %
53 Hemel Hempstead 8.2% LAB   CON 1.1 %
54 Yeovil 8.2% LD   LD 17.2 %
55 Ribble South 8.2% LAB   LAB 4.6 %
56 Finchley & Golders Green 8.5% LAB   LAB 1.7 %
57 Wolverhampton South West 8.5% LAB   LAB 6.9 %
58 The Wrekin 8.6% LAB   CON 2.1 %
59 Croydon Central 8.7% LAB   CON 0.2 %
60 Elmet 9.1% LAB   LAB 9.6 %
61 Wimbledon 9.1% LAB   CON 5.3 %
62 Stroud 9.1% LAB   LAB 0.6 %
63 Argyll and Bute 9.2% LD   LD 13.0 %
64 Keighley 9.2% LAB   LAB 10.5 %
65 Sittingbourne & Sheppey 9.3% LAB   LAB 0.2 %
66 High Peak 9.3% LAB   LAB 1.5 %
67 Stourbridge 9.5% LAB   LAB 1.0 %
68 Brigg & Goole 9.6% LAB   LAB 6.8 %
69 Falmouth & Camborne 9.7% LAB   LD 3.9 %
70 Medway 9.8% LAB   LAB 0.5 %
71 Colne Valley 9.9% LAB   LAB 3.1 %
72 Wirral West 10% LAB   LAB 2.7 %
73 Richmond Park 10.1% LD   LD 7.3 %
74 St Albans 10.2% LAB   CON 3.0 %
75 Cornwall South East 10.4% LD   LD 12.2 %
76 Vale of Glamorgan 10.4% LAB   LAB 3.8 %
77 Burton 10.4% LAB   LAB 3.0 %
78 Hastings & Rye 10.5% LAB   LAB 4.7 %
79 Pendle 10.8% LAB   LAB 5.3 %
80 Sutton & Cheam 10.8% LD   LD 6.8 %
81 Bradford West 10.9% LAB   LAB 8.3 %
82 Dunbartonshire East 6.3% LAB   LD 8.7 %
83 Chatham & Aylesford 10.9% LAB   LAB 5.5 %
84 Perth and North Perthshire 11% SNP   SNP 3.3 %
85 Warwick & Leamington 11.1% LAB   LAB 0.5 %
86 Gravesham 11.1% LAB   CON 1.4 %
87 Carshalton & Wallington 11.2% LD   LD 2.5 %
88 Great Yarmouth 11.3% LAB   LAB 7.4 %
89 Wansdyke 11.3% LAB   LAB 3.6 %
90 Stafford 11.3% LAB   LAB 4.7 %
91 Tamworth 11.4% LAB   LAB 5.9 %
92 Dover 11.6% LAB   LAB 10.3 %
93 Rossendale & Darwen 11.9% LAB   LAB 8.3 %
94 Watford 12% LAB   LAB 2.3 %
95 Broxtowe 12% LAB   LAB 4.7 %
96 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale 12.1% LAB   CON 3.9 %
97 Corby 12.1% LAB   LAB 3.1 %
98 Morecambe & Lunesdale 12.2% LAB   LAB 11.5 %
99 Carmarthen West & Pembrokeshire South 12.3% LAB   LAB 5.0 %
100 Leeds North West 12.3% LAB   LD 4.2 %
101 Birmingham Edgbaston 12.4% LAB   LAB 6.2 %
102 Pudsey 12.5% LAB   LAB 12.6 %
103 Brighton Kemptown 12.6% LAB   LAB 6.9 %
104 Cheltenham 12.6% LD   LD 5.3 %
105 Wirral South 12.7% LAB   LAB 9.4 %
106 Colchester 12.7% LD   LD 14.0 %
107 Gedling 12.8% LAB   LAB 8.6 %
108 Reading East 12.8% LAB   CON 1.1 %
109 Norwich North 12.9% LAB   LAB 11.6 %
110 Harlow 13% LAB   LAB 0.2 %
111 Worcester 13% LAB   LAB 6.8 %
112 Batley & Spen 13.1% LAB   LAB 14.8 %
113 Harrow West 13.2% LAB   LAB 4.2 %
114 Enfield Southgate 13.2% LAB   CON 4.1 %
115 Cleethorpes 13.2% LAB   LAB 6.1 %
116 Bolton West 13.4% LAB   LAB 5.1 %
117 Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine 13.4% LD   LD 17.9 %
118 Blackpool North & Fleetwood 13.4% LAB   LAB 11.7 %
119 Staffordshire Moorlands 13.7% LAB   LAB 5.5 %
120 Battersea 13.7% LAB   LAB 0.4 %
121 Portsmouth North 13.9% LAB   LAB 3.0 %
122 Torbay 14.1% LD   LD 4.3 %
123 Cardiff North 14.3% LAB   LAB 2.5 %
124 Erewash 14.3% LAB   LAB 14.0 %
125 Copeland 14.3% LAB   LAB 18.7 %
126 Loughborough 14.4% LAB   LAB 4.3 %
127 Bury North 14.6% LAB   LAB 6.6 %
128 Derbyshire South 15.1% LAB   LAB 8.1 %
129 Bedford 15.2% LAB   LAB 8.0 %
130 Halifax 15.2% LAB   LAB 8.6 %
131 Twickenham 15.3% LD   LD 19.3 %
132 City of Chester 15.4% LAB   LAB 2.0 %
133 Milton Keynes South West 15.4% LAB   LAB 8.1 %
134 Portsmouth South 15.5% LD   LD 8.3 %
135 Derby North 15.8% LAB   LAB 8.6 %
136 Truro & St Austell 16% LD   LD 14.4 %
137 Amber Valley 16.2% LAB   LAB 11.1 %
138 Warrington South 16.3% LAB   LAB 7.5 %
139 Winchester 16.3% LD   LD 12.1 %
140 Carlisle 16.3% LAB   LAB 16.1 %
141 Edinburgh South 14% LAB   LAB 0.9 %
142 Edinburgh West 11.9% LD   LD 30.0 %
143 Swindon South 16.9% LAB   LAB 3.1 %
144 Crawley 17.1% LAB   LAB 0.1 %
145 Nuneaton 17.4% LAB   LAB 5.0 %
146 Chorley 17.6% LAB   LAB 15.4 %
147 Dudley North 17.6% LAB   LAB 13.1 %
148 Northavon 17.7% LD   LD 18.7 %
149 Vale of Clwyd 17.8% LAB   LAB 14.4 %
150 Oxford West & Abingdon 17.8% LD   LD 14.6 %
151 Leeds North East 17.8% LAB   LAB 12.7 %
152 Edinburgh South West 17.9% LAB   LAB 16.5 %
153 Conwy 18.1% LAB   LAB 9.2 %
154 Leicestershire North West 18.1% LAB   LAB 9.5 %
155 Waveney 18.1% LAB   LAB 11.9 %
156 Hendon 18.2% LAB   LAB 6.5 %
157 Cornwall North 18.2% LD   LD 5.5 %
158 Aberdeen South 9.5% LAB   LAB 3.2 %
159 Halesowen & Rowley Regis 18.7% LAB   LAB 10.5 %