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Global picture Africa's epidemic 2010: Key countries 2010: Best case scenario
Predicting the future global spread of HIV is very complex and few studies attempt it.

This analysis by the US intelligence community looked at several countries which are likely to see large numbers of new infections.

It estimated the number of people likely to be living with HIV by 2010.

The UN has predicted similar trends, estimating that China will have 10m cases by 2010 and India 20-25m.

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