Labour target seats
If the Labour Party led by Gordon Brown hopes to improve on its performance at the last general election in 2005, the 44 seats highlighted in the map and in the list below are those easiest for them to gain.They are the seats that Labour would win if there were a 5% shift in votes from the holding party to Labour.The list is based on "notional" results, which provide an estimate of the 2005 election outcome, had recent constituency boundary changes been in force then.
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Labour target seats (ordered by vulnerability)
| 2005 Results | 2010 Results | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | Constituency | 2005 Majority | 2005 Party | 2010 Party | New majority | |
| 1 | Sittingbourne & Sheppey | 0.1% | CON | CON | 25.5% | |
| 2 | Clwyd West | 0.1% | CON | CON | 16.8% | |
| 3 | Hemel Hempstead | 0.4% | CON | CON | 27.1% | |
| 4 | Kettering | 0.4% | CON | CON | 19.2% | |
| 5 | Somerset North East | 0.5% | CON | CON | 9.6% | |
| 6 | Finchley & Golders Green | 0.7% | CON | CON | 12.3% | |
| 7 | Shipley | 1% | CON | CON | 20.1% | |
| 8 | Dundee East | 1% | SNP | SNP | 4.5% | |
| 9 | Rochester & Strood | 1.1% | CON | CON | 20.7% | |
| 10 | Wellingborough | 1.2% | CON | CON | 22.8% | |
| 11 | Manchester Withington | 1.4% | LD | LD | 4.1% | |
| 12 | Gravesham | 1.4% | CON | CON | 19.7% | |
| 13 | Wirral West | 1.5% | CON | CON | 6.2% | |
| 14 | Preseli Pembrokeshire | 1.5% | CON | CON | 11.6% | |
| 15 | Filton & Bradley Stoke | 1.6% | CON | CON | 14.3% | |
| 16 | Reading East | 1.7% | CON | CON | 15.2% | |
| 17 | Thanet South | 1.8% | CON | CON | 16.6% | |
| 18 | Bethnal Green & Bow | 2.1% | RES | LAB | 22.8% | |
| 19 | Enfield North | 2.4% | CON | CON | 3.8% | |
| 20 | Bristol West | 2.5% | LD | LD | 20.5% | |
| 21 | Scarborough & Whitby | 2.7% | CON | CON | 16.5% | |
| 22 | Enfield Southgate | 2.7% | CON | CON | 17.2% | |
| 23 | Wrekin, The | 2.9% | CON | CON | 20.6% | |
| 24 | St Albans | 2.9% | CON | CON | 4.4% | |
| 25 | Shrewsbury & Atcham | 3.6% | CON | CON | 15.0% | |
| 26 | Staffordshire Moorlands | 3.9% | CON | CON | 15.3% | |
| 27 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale | 3.9% | CON | CON | 9.1% | |
| 28 | Ilford North | 4.1% | CON | CON | 11.5% | |
| 29 | Forest Of Dean | 4.3% | CON | CON | 22.7% | |
| 30 | Selby & Ainsty | 4.3% | CON | CON | 23.7% | |
| 31 | Putney | 4.8% | CON | CON | 24.6% | |
| 32 | Leeds North West | 5% | LD | LD | 20.9% | |
| 33 | Hornsey & Wood Green | 5.1% | LD | LD | 12.5% | |
| 34 | Wimbledon | 5.7% | CON | CON | 24.1% | |
| 35 | Beverley & Holderness | 6.2% | CON | CON | 24.4% | |
| 36 | Basingstoke | 6.3% | CON | CON | 26.0% | |
| 37 | Chesterfield | 6.4% | LD | LAB | 1.2% | |
| 38 | Camborne & Redruth | 7.1% | LD | CON | 0.2% | |
| 39 | Birmingham Yardley | 7.3% | LD | LD | 7.3% | |
| 40 | Clacton | 8.5% | CON | CON | 28.0% | |
| 41 | Dunbartonshire East | 8.7% | LD | LD | 4.6% | |
| 42 | Peterborough | 8.9% | CON | CON | 10.8% | |
| 43 | Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey | 9.4% | LD | LD | 18.6% | |
| 44 | Monmouth | 9.9% | CON | CON | 22.4% | |
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