Liberal Democrat defence seats
If the Liberal Democrats under Nick Clegg perform less well than at the last general election in 2005, the 28 seats highlighted in the map and in the list below are those easiest for other parties to gain from them.They are seats where the Liberal Democrat majority is 10% or less.
The list is based on "notional" results, which provide an estimate of the 2005 election outcome, had recent constituency boundary changes been in force then.
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Liberal Democrat defence seats (ordered by vulnerability)
| 2005 Results | 2010 Results | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | Constituency | 2005 Majority | 2005 Party | 2010 Party | New majority | |
| 1 | York Outer | 0.4% | LD | CON | 6.9% | |
| 2 | Romsey & Southampton North | 0.5% | LD | CON | 8.5% | |
| 3 | Ceredigion | 0.6% | LD | LD | 21.8% | |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 0.7% | LD | LD | 9.3% | |
| 5 | Somerton & Frome | 1.1% | LD | LD | 3.0% | |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 1.1% | LD | LD | 7.2% | |
| 7 | Manchester Withington | 1.4% | LD | LD | 4.1% | |
| 8 | Westmorland & Lonsdale | 1.7% | LD | LD | 23.8% | |
| 9 | Hereford & Herefordshire South | 2.4% | LD | CON | 5.1% | |
| 10 | Bristol West | 2.5% | LD | LD | 20.5% | |
| 11 | Carshalton & Wallington | 2.9% | LD | LD | 11.5% | |
| 12 | Taunton Deane | 3.3% | LD | LD | 6.9% | |
| 13 | Chippenham | 4.7% | LD | LD | 4.7% | |
| 14 | Leeds North West | 5% | LD | LD | 20.9% | |
| 15 | Hornsey & Wood Green | 5.1% | LD | LD | 12.5% | |
| 16 | Torbay | 6% | LD | LD | 8.3% | |
| 17 | Sutton & Cheam | 6.2% | LD | LD | 3.3% | |
| 18 | Chesterfield | 6.4% | LD | LAB | 1.2% | |
| 19 | Cornwall North | 6.9% | LD | LD | 6.4% | |
| 20 | Camborne & Redruth | 7.1% | LD | CON | 0.2% | |
| 21 | Richmond Park | 7.1% | LD | CON | 6.9% | |
| 22 | Birmingham Yardley | 7.3% | LD | LD | 7.3% | |
| 23 | Cheadle | 7.4% | LD | LD | 6.2% | |
| 24 | Portsmouth South | 8% | LD | LD | 12.6% | |
| 25 | Dunbartonshire East | 8.7% | LD | LD | 4.6% | |
| 26 | Truro & Falmouth | 9.3% | LD | CON | 0.9% | |
| 27 | Southport | 9.3% | LD | LD | 13.8% | |
| 28 | Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey | 9.4% | LD | LD | 18.6% | |
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