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Monday, 10 February, 2003, 14:36 GMT

Questions over US troops' Saudi future

By Roger Hardy
BBC Middle East analyst

Saudi Arabia says a report suggesting it will ask United States forces to leave after the Iraq crisis is speculative.

The New York Times reported on Sunday that the decision was the result of a far-reaching debate within the ruling family about the country's future.

If they are indeed planning a dramatic change in the US-Saudi relationship, the cautious Saudi princes are not yet ready to say so publicly.

But the idea of sending home the 5,000 American military personnel currently on Saudi soil is not new.

There are signs it was under consideration before the 11 September attacks on America - and as a result of those attacks was put on the back-burner.

Now the idea is being revived.

A number of senior princes clearly feel that if there is a war against Iraq - and Iraq is defeated and disarmed - then the rationale for stationing US troops in Saudi Arabia will, arguably, be removed.

No less important, the New York Times reports that the top princes have decided to introduce political reforms which would lead - over a six-year period - to an elected parliament.

At present the ruling family receives advice from an unelected consultative council.

Opposition

The paper predicts opposition from religious conservatives.

In the past Saudi rulers have sometimes promised change but not delivered it.

But what is different this time is, first, that the country's de facto ruler, Crown Prince Abdullah, seems committed to reform.

Secondly, America's 'war on terror' is generating new pressures for change which the region's rulers are being forced to confront.


Related to this story:
Saudis deny letting US use bases (30 Dec 02 | Middle East) Saudis 'to let US use bases' (29 Dec 02 | Middle East) Saudis snub US over Iraq attack (03 Nov 02 | Middle East) Analysis: Tense times for Saudi Arabia (07 Dec 02 | Middle East) Strains show in US-Saudi ties (28 Nov 02 | Middle East) Country profile: Saudi Arabia (02 Nov 02 | Country profiles)


Internet links: US State Department | Saudi Arabia Information Ministry
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