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Friday, 16 February, 2001, 19:20 GMT

Analysis: Serbs under threat


British marines on patrol on the Serbia-Kosovo border
By diplomatic correspondent Barnaby Mason

The latest bomb attacks on Serbs in Kosovo illustrate the problems that Nato-led forces are having keeping the lid on the continuing violence - most of it now apparently carried out by ethnic Albanian extremists.



It is a sign of how international sympathy has shifted
The Serb minority in Kosovo is now huddled together in isolated enclaves for protection against attack.

In some cases, ethnic Albanians want revenge for the atrocities committed earlier by Serbian security forces.

But there is also a concerted campaign by Albanian extremists to drive the Serbs out altogether.

Guerrilla force

Troops of the Nato-led force K-For often escort Serbs making trips to and from Serbia, but they do not offer guaranteed protection.

Bombed out bus
In northern Kosovo in particular, K-For has often been the target of violent protests by Serbs.

However, the main threat to the territory's fragile status quo comes from the Albanian side.

Several hundred Albanian guerrillas now operate in a long stretch of the five-kilometre-wide buffer zone between Kosovo and Serbia.

From there, especially in the Presevo Valley in the south-east, they have been harrying Serbian forces and then retreating into the zone which the Serbs are forbidden to enter.

Search for stability

On Thursday, the new democratically-elected authorities in Belgrade presented to Nato a peace plan to stabilise the region.

Ethnic Albanian rebel between Gnjilane, Kosovo and Bujanovac, Serbia
They are offering negotiations and better treatment for Serbia's Albanian minority.

But a key proposal is to narrow or eliminate the buffer zone so that Serbian forces can regain control of villages and roads controlled by the rebels.

It is a sign of how international sympathy has shifted that Nato Secretary-General George Robertson gave a qualified welcome to the plan as a break with the past.

But Lord Robertson added that premature changes to the buffer zone risked making matters worse. They must not create a vacuum or lead to new fighting.


Related to this story:
UN police come under attack (14 Feb 01 | Europe) Nato welcomes Serbian peace plans (15 Feb 01 | Europe) Albanian rebels training for Serbian war (12 Feb 01 | Europe) Kostunica warns of fresh fighting (29 Jan 01 | Europe) Kosovo one year on (16 Mar 00 | Europe)


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