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BBC News Online: World: Asia-Pacific


Friday, 22 December, 2000, 13:38 GMT

Fears over Japan's ageing population


Twins  Kin Narita and Gin Kanie
Japan's population has been growing at its lowest rate since the end of the Second World War.

The latest census report showed Japan's population stood at 126.92 million, up 1.35 million, or a mere 1.1% from the last such survey five years ago.


Japan's elderly
Population growth of just 1.1% in last five years
One in six Japanese (22 million) are elderly
By 2025, one in three Japanese will be elderly

The figure is a significant drop from the previous record-low growth in 1995 of 1.6%.

The report raises fears that with a shrinking young workforce, the country will be ill-equipped to support the elderly.

The burgeoning elderly population - which includes those over 65 years - hit a record high at 22 million, or one in six people, in October.

Older mothers

The current census found the number of family members per household had dropped to 2.7 from 2.85 in 1995.

Elderly Japanese man
It said that the nation's population - which comprised slightly more women than men - ranked ninth in the world and accounted for 2.1% of the global population of 6.06 billion.

The decline in birth rates has been attributed to the trend of late marriages, as more women focus on their careers.

This results in fewer women giving birth in their 20s - in 1999, the average age of mothers who gave birth to their first child stood at a record high of 27.9 years.

Couples also tend to have fewer children.

Population to shrink

Currently, Sweden and Italy have the most elderly people, with the aged accounting for 17.4% of their populations.

pair of hands - young and old
But Japan is set to overtake them, with its population expected to start falling by the year 2004, according to a recent government report.

By the year 2025, one in every three people will be elderly, the report said.

At present, four working people support one elderly person, but soon two working people will have to support one elderly person.

Japan has one of the highest life expectancies in the world, at 74.5 years.


Related to this story:
Life expectancy 'higher than thought' (14 Jun 00 | Health) Research sounds alarm over ageing (14 Jun 00 | Americas) Japan hits record for centenarians (08 Sep 00 | Asia-Pacific) Pension crisis looms for Japan (27 Aug 98 | The Economy) World's oldest twin dies at 107 (23 Jan 00 | Asia-Pacific) Governments ill-prepared for elderly explosion (27 Nov 98 | International)


Internet links: Kyodo News | Japan Times | Population Reference Bureau | National Institute on Aging |
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