Ethnic vote's key constituencies

TARGET AREAS Click region on map for details of target constituencies

Ethnic minority voters could be "critical" in 71 seats at the next General Election, according to campaign group Operation Black Vote (OBV).

Its research has pinpointed constituencies in England and Wales where it says the votes of ethnic minorities could be decisive in determining the outcome at the next General Election.

The organisation used 2001 census data and information from local election offices to work out what proportion of ethnic minority adults needed to turn out to vote to potentially change the result in their constituency.

OBV's study showed minority voters' biggest influence could be in Cheadle, Cheshire - the UK's most marginal seat, followed by multi-ethnic Brent East in north-west London.

EAST
Constituency	Held by	Majority	Ethnic minority turnout needed
Welwyn Hatfield	Lab	1,196	1 in 4
Braintree	Lab	358	1 in 3
Bedfordshire SW	Con	776	1 in 3
Peterborough	Lab	2,854	1 in 3
Bedford	Lab	6,157	1 in 2
Luton South	Lab	10,133	1 in 2
Hornchurch	Lab	1,482	1 in 2
Luton North	Lab	9,977	1 in 1
Watford	Lab	5,555	1 in 1
Castle Point	Con	985	1 in 1
St Albans	Lab	4,466	1 in 1
Norfolk North	Lib Dem	483	1 in 1
Source: Operation Black Vote

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EAST MIDLANDS
Constituency	Held by	Majority	Ethnic minority turnout needed
Northampton South	Lab	885	1 in 6
Kettering	Lab	665	1 in 3
Leicester East	Lab	13,442	1 in 3
Loughborough	Lab	6,378	1 in 2
Leicester West	Lab	9,639	1 in 2
Wellingborough	Lab	2,355	1 in 2
Leicester South	Lab	13,243	1 in 1
Nottingham East	Lab	10,320	1 in 1
Nottingham South	Lab	9,989	1 in 1
Source: Operation Black Vote

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LONDON
Constituency	Held by	Majority	Ethnic minority turnout needed
Brent East	Lib Dem	1,118	1 in 28
Orpington	Con	269	1 in 14
Hammersmith & Fulham	Lab	2,015	1 in 7
Ilford North	Lab	2,115	1 in 7
Harrow East	Lab	11,124	1 in 6
Finchley & Golders Green	Lab	3,716	1 in 5
Enfield North	Lab	2,291	1 in 5
Chipping Barnet	Con	2,701	1 in 5
City of London & Westminster	Con	4,499	1 in 4
Wimbledon	Lab	3,744	1 in 4
Harrow West	Lab	6,156	1 in 4
Uxbridge	Con	2,098	1 in 4
Brent North	Lab	10,205	1 in 4
Bethnal Green & Bow	Lab	10,057	1 in 3
Bexleyheath & Crayford	Lab	1,472	1 in 3
Croydon Central	Lab	3,984	1 in 3
N Southwark & Bermondsey	Lib Dem	9,632	1 in 3
West Ham	Lab	15,645	1 in 3
Ilford South	Lab	13,997	1 in 3
Battersea	Lab	5,053	1 in 3
Brent South	Lab	17,380	1 in 3
East Ham	Lab	21,032	1 in 3
Croydon North	Lab	16,858	1 in 2
Dulwich & West Norwood	Lab	12,310	1 in 2
Ealing North	Lab	11,837	1 in 2
Enfield Southgate	Lab	5,546	1 in 2
Brentford & Isleworth	Lab	10,318	1 in 2
Hackney S & Shoreditch	Lab	15,049	1 in 2
Camberwell & Peckham	Lab	14,123	1 in 2
Tottenham	Lab	16,916	1 in 2
Lewisham & Deptford	Lab	15,293	1 in 2
Vauxhall	Lab	13,018	1 in 2
Beckenham	Con	4,959	1 in 2
Barking	Lab	9,534	1 in 1
Carshalton & Wallington	Lib Dem	4,547	1 in 1
Chingford & Woodford Green	Con	5,487	1 in 1
Croydon South	Con	8,697	1 in 1
Source: Operation Black Vote

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NORTH WEST
Constituency	Held by	Majority	Ethnic minority turnout needed
Cheadle	Lib Dem	33	1 in 104
Rochdale	Lab	5,655	1 in 1
Source: Operation Black Vote

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SOUTH EAST
Constituency	Held by	Majority	Ethnic minority turnout needed
Guildford	Lib Dem	538	1 in 6
Milton Keynes North East	Lab	1,829	1 in 3
Gillingham	Lab	2,272	1 in 2
Reading East	Lab	5,588	1 in 1
Source: Operation Black Vote

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SOUTH WEST
Constituency	Held by	Majority	Ethnic minority turnout needed
Taunton	Con	235	1 in 3
Bristol West	Lab	4,426	1 in 2
Source: Operation Black Vote

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WALES
Constituency	Held by	Majority	Ethnic minority turnout needed
Cardiff Central	Lab	659	1 in 8
Source: Operation Black Vote

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WEST MIDLANDS
Constituency	Held by	Majority	Ethnic minority turnout needed
Birmingham Perry Barr	Lab	8,753	1 in 4
Birmingham Ladywood	Lab	18,143	1 in 2
Birmingham Sparkbrook	Lab	16,246	1 in 2
Redditch	Lab	2,484	1 in 1
Source: Operation Black Vote

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