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Wednesday, 25 March, 1998, 16:00 GMT
Indian election briefing
More details This time round This election was India's second in two years and offers little chance of providing political stability. The main contenders were: the Congress party who have ruled India for most of its democratic history but have recently been in trouble; the BJP, a Hindu nationalist party that won more seats than any other in 1996 but which is opposed by all other parties; and the United Front, a coalition of small, regional parties. The election was called after the UF government lost the support of Congress over allegations that a coalition partner had links with the assassins of former Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi.
More details The Gandhi factor These elections were given added spice with the announcement on December 29th that Rajiv Gandhi's widow, Sonia, was to campaign for the Congress Party. She has long resisted calls for her to enter active politics and follow in the footsteps of the family dynasty. She later made it known that she would not be standing as a parliamentary candidate herself - despite pressure in the seat of Amethi in Uttar Pradesh, the constituency represented by her late husband , Sonia Gandhi declined to file papers, but she did agree to campaign. Sonia gave her first major speech on January 11 near the site of her husbands assassination.
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It's the economy stupid The likely failure of any party to produce a majority government could lead to further instability and wavering on key issues like economic reform. A BJP government could see greater hostility to inward foreign investment and the liberalisation of import criteria for consumer goods. But the main fear would be that it would destabilise Indian society and politics, by fuelling communal tension between India's majority Hindu population and its 120 million Muslims. Congress' candidate for Prime Minister, Manmohan Singh, a former finance minister (1991-1996), is known for his promotion of economic reform and strong anti-corruption credentials, One candidate for prime minister from the United Front is Jyoti Basu, Marxist chief minister of West Bengal for two decades who has proved adept at attracting foreign investment to his state.
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Wider concerns Correspondents say a BJP government remains the most likely outcome. Although it has proved to be more moderate in government than in opposition, the fear remains that the party would destabilise Indian society and politics, by fuelling communal tension between India's majority Hindu population and its 120 million Muslims. Tensions with Pakistan could also worsen. The BJP has in the past emphasised the need to develop India's nuclear potential. |
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