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Wednesday, November 26, 1997 Published at 17:02 GMT Special Report US: Job fears ![]() APEC leaders gather in Vancouver
The financial turmoil in Asia dominated the recent summit of leaders from the Asia Pacific region in Vancouver. At the end of the meeting the 18 leaders called for trade liberalisation and
reaffirmed their faith in the region's underlying economic strength. The American administration has been arguing that economic reforms and free trade are the best way to ensure lasting stability in Asia.
The BBC's US affairs analyst, Henri Astier, asks if these arguments have won
the day.
On the face of it, the final declaration issued in Vancouver could have been
written in Washington. APEC leaders agreed that Asian economies are
fundamentally sound -- echoing the declaration of faith made at the beginning of the summit by
President Clinton.
They said confidence in Asia's financial markets must be
restored by putting the International Monetary Fund firmly in control of any
international bailout; the eighteen leaders also endorsed a US-backed plan for
further liberalisation of trade and investments.
APEC leaders have shunned
anti-Western rhetoric and given a ringing endorsement to all-American recipe
for success -- economic reforms and open markets.
Or have they? The Vancouver statement was long on brave talk of concerted
action but short on specifics.
Take the agreement to strengthen the IMF: APEC
has approved a plan worked out by a ministerial meeting in Manilla,
that would require economies in trouble to undertake reforms in exchange for
billions of dollars in assistance.
Richer members would provide backup
financing in IMF funding is not enough. The communique made no mention of
how much money the ailing countries would need. More worryingly, it is far
from clear who would provide any extra money required.
The US Congress does
not want to put aside extra resources towards IMF bailouts and the Clinton
administration has called on Japan to take the lead in pulling its neighbours
out of the doldrums.
But the Japanese themselves are not so keen on decisive
action. In Vancouver, Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto said that his country
was not so conceited as to think it could be the locomotive which would revive
Asia.
One may wonder who will drive Asia's recovery, if the world's two
largest economies are scrambling for the back-seat.
There's a similar muddle on the trade front. APEC members agree that free
trade is as vital to economic success as healthy financial markets. The
region, after all, accounts for more than half of total world trade.
In
Vancouver, APEC leaders have pledged to cut tariffs in nine key sectors ranging from toys to chemicals and environmental technology by 1999. They
also promised to seek completion by next month of an agreement which would open
up the financial sector to foreign competition.
However, no concrete targets
have been set. And the ability of the United States to deliver on free trade
is itself in question: many Asian leaders wonder what Mr Clinton's pledges of
free trade are worth when Congress has refused to increase his authority to
negotiate trade deals.
In Vancouver, APEC leaders were keen to project a sense of unity and purpose,
in order to reassure nervous financial markets -- but many underlying
differences and uncertainties remain.
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