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More or Less
Friday, 8 May 2009
BBC Radio 4, 1330 BST
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A glass of wine each evening is enough to increase your chance of developing cancer, women were warned earlier this year. That is according to research from the
"Million Women Study"
which
links alcohol consumption to cancer risk.
But Dr
David Spiegelhalter,
the Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at Cambridge University, questions the report's conclusions. Snap decisions
Would you have guessed the outcome of last year's Wimbledon?
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Can gut feeling be more accurate than careful analysis? Gerd Gigerenzer, director of the
the Centre for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition
at the Max Planck Institute in Berlin, challenges conventional wisdom about how the brain thinks about numbers. "Semi-ignorant people", he says, are better at predicting the outcome of Wimbledon than tennis experts. Does More or Less make you mean?
Ebenezer Scrooge was an avid More or Less listener
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We are shocked to discover that statistics make you mean. That is according to
Deborah Small,
a Professor of Marketing and Psychology at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School. She says statistical information in charity campaigns reduces sympathy. Maths in music
Pi: ratio of a circle's circumference to its diameter and Kate Bush song
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It is the great poet
Tennyson's
bicentennial year. And that is all the excuse we need to highlight flawed maths in popular music. Why? It is complicated. But it involves Charles Babbage, an 1842 poem and population statistics. BBC Radio 4's More or Less is broadcast on Friday, 8 May at 1330 BST and repeated on Sunday, 10 May at 2000 BST. Subscribe to the More or Less
podcast.
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