Page last updated at 14:56 GMT, Wednesday, 18 November 2009

Bank split over stimulus package

Bank of England building
The BoE extended its stimulus programme to £200bn this month

Bank of England rate-setters were split three ways about the decision taken earlier this month to pump £25bn more into the economy, meeting notes show.

Seven of the nine members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted for the £25bn extension, one voted for a higher amount and one for no change.

The members were, however, unanimous in the decision to keep interest rates at a record low of 0.5%.

The Bank has pumped billions into the economy to try to stimulate demand.

Under the programme - known as quantitative easing (QE) - the Bank has pursued a policy of injecting money into the economy through buying bonds from banks and other companies.

The second "no" vote is the more interesting, since it came from the Bank's chief economist, Spencer Dale, who preferred to leave policy unchanged
Stephanie Flanders, BBC economics editor

The decision to pump an extra £25bn into the economy brings the total planned spending under the policy to £200bn.

Inflation risk

Minutes of the meeting showed that MPC member David Miles called for the stimulus programme to be extended by £40bn.

This would "provide greater insurance against the downside risks to growth and inflation arising from constrained credit supply," the notes said.

However, Spencer Dale, the Bank's chief economist, argued that any extension might push inflation higher, and beyond the 2% target. He voted for the programme not to be expanded.

On Tuesday, official figures showed that CPI inflation had risen to 1.5% in October, up from 1.1% in September.

Quantitative Easing

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First, with the permission of the Treasury, the Bank of England creates lots of money. It does this by just crediting its own bank account.

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The Bank of England wants to use that cash to increase spending and boost the economy so it spends it, mainly on buying government bonds from financial firms such as banks, insurance companies and pension funds.
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The Bank buying bonds makes them more expensive, so they are a less attractive investment. That means companies that have sold bonds may use the proceeds to invest in other companies or lend to individuals.
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If banks, pension funds and insurance companies are more enthusiastic about lending to companies and individuals, the interest rates they charge should fall, so more money is spent and the economy is boosted.
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Theoretically, when the economy has recovered, the Bank of England sells the bonds it has bought and destroys the cash it receives. That means in the long term there has been no extra cash created.
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Last week, Bank governor Mervyn King said it was "open minded" about extending QE further.

Analysts said the minutes showed that further extensions could be unlikely.

"I wouldn't rule out any further purchases, particularly if things turn out weaker and third-quarter GDP isn't revised up," said Collin Ellis at Daiwa Securities.

"But I think the chance has somewhat diminished after these minutes. I think it's pretty clear the committee overall would like to stop at £200bn."

Provisional estimates show that the UK economy shrank by 0.4% between July and September.



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