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Page last updated at 19:32 GMT, Friday, 17 July 2009 20:32 UK

Top US adviser applauds stimulus

US National Economic Council chairman Lawrence Summers
Mr Summers said that fears of inflation were unfounded

US President Barack Obama's $787bn (£482bn) stimulus package is working, top White House economic adviser Lawrence Summers has insisted.

And although unemployment is a "major area of concern", Mr Summers said rising joblessness does not prove that the stimulus "is falling short".

The effect of the stimulus on jobs will peak at the end of 2010, he said.

Continuing to stimulate the economy takes precedence over cutting America's growing deficit, Mr Summers added.

'Greatest risk'

"We were at the brink of catastrophe at the beginning of the year, but we have walked some substantial distance back from the abyss," Mr Summers said in a speech at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington.

To support his conclusion, Mr Summers pointed to surveys showing that a majority of businesses now expect the market to improve.

He also said that a number of private forecasters are predicting positive GDP growth in the US second half of 2009.

The greatest risk to future US deficits would be uncontrolled economic contraction in the United States
Lawrence Summers
Chairman, National Economic Council

"It is true that unemployment is substantially higher and job loss has been greater than most observers predicted last winter, and that unemployment is likely to rise in the coming months," Mr Summers admitted.

"But contrary to a significant amount of commentary, this does not provide a basis for concluding that the [stimulus package] is falling short of its goals," he added.

The White House projected that "only a very small part of the total job creation expected from the stimulus would take place by the end of the second quarter [of 2009]," he explained.

"Given lags in spending and hiring, the peak impact of the stimulus on jobs was expected to be achieved at the end of 2010."

Mr Summers dismissed concerns about the rising deficit, and rejected the claim that government stimulus spending could trigger a damaging inflationary spiral.

"The greatest risk to future US deficits would be uncontrolled economic contraction in the United States," he maintained.



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