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Tuesday, 19 September, 2000, 13:46 GMT 14:46 UK
Jolo operation: Tactics and equipment
![]() Estrada (left) has said the operation will be over in days
BBC News Online's Tarik Kafala
In the words of Philippine President Joseph Estrada, the current military campaign against the Abu Sayyaf will leave the rebels "pulverised to ashes". After months of humiliation at the hands of Abu Sayyaf, who seemed able to take hostages and demand ransoms at will, the government clearly wants to destroy the rebels in a short, sharp operation.
The news blackout imposed on Jolo means that a clear picture of the operation is hard to build, but reports suggest that the Philippine military is not directly engaging the rebels on the ground.
This, he suggests, means that Mr Estrada's initial claims that the operation should be over within a week now looks extremely optimistic. The Philippine army is depending mainly on aerial attack from air force bombers and helicopters, as well as mortar and artillery shelling. Paul Beaver of Jane's Defence Weekly says this "hands off" approach to a jungle counter insurgency operation is unlikely to work. "To do this at long range is reminiscent of Vietnam, and we all know what happened there," Mr Beaver told the BBC. Retreat Reports have suggested that the Abu Sayyaf rebels have retreated into Jolo's mountainous jungle interior or have left the island altogether.
The Abu Sayyaf are believed to be retreating in high-powered speedboats bought with more than $15m in ransom reportedly received from Libya and Malaysia for freeing hostages. Libya maintains that the ransom money is going only into development programs for Jolo and nearby islands, but there are indications that the payments have gone to swelling and re-equipping the Abu Sayyaf. Abu Sayyaf boosted Before the series of kidnappings began in March, the Abu Sayyaf had fewer than 200 armed men and about 1000 members. The number is believed to have grown to more than 3,000 after the ransom payments.
The rebels receive backing from Libya and Iran, and radical Islamic groups in Sudan and Pakistan. Before the recent hostage taking, the rebels were armed with AK47 rifles and handguns. Since then, the rebels are believed to have acquired heavy machine guns, mortars and grenade launchers.
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