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Sunday, January 3, 1999 Published at 15:55 GMT
Euro's big test begins ![]() The euro is set to make a big impact on the world's financial markets The talking is over. Now it's time for the trading. The world's financial markets are about to start trading in the euro, Europe's new single currency.
However trading is likely to be subdued while dealers get to grips with the new currency. The euro's first big test will come several hours later with the opening of Asia's truly big financial markets in Tokyo, Hong Kong and Singapore.
Day of reckoning
Now it is up to hard-nosed bankers and City traders around the globe to determine the fate of the world's most modern currency. Financial institutions have had employees working around the clock over the New Year weekend to get ready for the euro. But nobody knows for sure whether everybody will be ready. There are still fears that the introduction of the euro could create chaos across the world's financial system.
Looking at London
Strong currency It is unlikely that there will be a rush for euros, because most banks and governments already hold them, because their old Deutschmarks, French francs and other Euroland currencies have now become euros. Therefore many analysts believe the euro will prove to be a strong currency and could even end the US dollars long standing dominance in the world's financial markets. The banking community is likely to purchase large quantities of euros in preference to currencies outside Euroland such as the pound sterling or even the dollar. Indeed an Indian public-sector bank has already purchased 5m euros and several leading financial institutions in the City of London are believed to have been active in the euro market. Slow start But despite the hype surrounding the launch of the euro, trading is likely to get off to a slow start. Many dealers will treat the new currency cautiously. They have to get used to new share prices and different currency spreads. Furthermore it will take time to assess whether trading systems are able to cope with the euro. The first day of trading in the euro will probably turn out to be a bit of a damp squib. But with the 11 countries involved in the single currency accounting for around a fifth of the world's total output, there are sure to be fireworks ahead. |
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