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Tuesday, 2 April, 2002, 11:09 GMT 12:09 UK
Argentina pleads for new aid
The government is desperate to avoid more riots
A delegation from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has arrived in Argentina to weigh up whether to grant the stricken country fresh aid.
New money is essential for Argentina to pull itself out of a deep financial crisis that has caused widespread rioting and deep social unrest.
Since then, prices have spiralled, unemployment has surged, and the economy is in a state of near-collapse. A green light from the IMF would open the door to renewed lending from the wider international financial community. Demanding change President Duhalde is hoping to persuade the IMF to part with at least $10bn. But the IMF has already made it clear that Argentina will have to make tough political decisions and economic reform before the money is released.
"We can't lend into anything that does not have the hope that Argentina can come out of it with the promise of growth...and that requires some changes," said Anne Krueger, the IMF's Deputy Managing Director. Observers say the Argentine government's most difficult task is persuading the IMF that it will follow through with the economic reforms that are proposed. Previous IMF loans were granted in return for a series of promises of economic reform that failed to materialise. Ms Krueger has indicated that to win IMF favour, Argentina must develop a tighter budget, a sustainable fiscal and monetary policy, and a workable exchange rate regime. It must also change bankruptcy laws, reverse the economic subversion law and lift banking restrictions. Protest fears Although some changes have already been initiated, President Eduardo Duhalde is still struggling to build an economic policy which will dig Argentina out of its hole. The difficulties in dealing with provincial governors and the populist leanings of Mr Duhalde's Peronist Party has prevented planned cuts to public sector pay and pensions.
Since the free flotation of the peso, the currency has already lost about 70% of its value creating widespread price rises for fuel, drugs and groceries. Unemployment in Argentina is affecting about a quarter of the workforce and nearly half the population is thought to be living below the poverty line. Second time lucky? An IMF team was also in Buenos Aires in the first two weeks of March, but no new funds were forthcoming. Anoop Singh, the IMF's top negotiator on Argentina, led the March trip and is also leading the present trip. Last week, Argentina received its first financial assistance since its economy went into full-scale meltdown late last year. The Inter-American Development Bank, the biggest lender for development purposes in Latin America and the Caribbean, has redirected $694m (£487m) to Argentina to help rebuild its social services. But while these funds provide some hope, only lenders of the scale of the IMF have enough resources to help solve Argentina's cash crisis. |
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