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Tuesday, 31 July, 2001, 10:19 GMT 11:19 UK
Climate deal: Is it enough?
![]() After intensive talks in Bonn, 178 countries have agreed how to tackle climate change.
The compromise means the Kyoto Protocol, the global climate treaty, can soon enter into force without the United States which has repudiated it. The provisions of the protocol as originally agreed four years ago have been considerably watered down to take into account Japan's reservations. EU officials admit the deal has serious gaps, and the environmental movement Greenpeace described it as "Kyoto Lite", but most agree that it is an important start. Is a diluted version of Kyoto enough to combat global warming? Can its goals be achieved without the US? Or do the gains outweigh the losses? Click here to read your previous comments on Kyoto This Talking Point has now closed. Read a selection of your comments below.
It seems clear that the multinationals are behind the Kyoto treaty. They purposely saw to it that India and China were excluded from the agreement since they have been planning to move production there anyway. The effect of the Kyoto agreement will merely be to move greenhouse gas producing industries from nations covered by the treaty (where wages are high) to nations not covered (where wages are low). Yes the multinationals couldn't be more pleased.
Scott, UK
The US Senate also refused to ratify the Treaty of Versailles. Look what a success that turned out to be.
Marc, UK The arguments that man is/is not causing global warming through the production of greenhouse gases are both convincing. I am no scientist - however, my own opinion is that we ARE having a detrimental effect on the environment. But let's just consider this - what right has man to continually use the planet as a convenient dustbin? We consider ourselves to be so superior, but in reality we are a self centred, narrow minded, arrogant species. We pollute the lands, seas and the atmosphere with blatant disregard for life on this planet.
So my point is this - instead of arguing the toss on global warming, it's high time that we REALLY started to clean up our act anyway. It's time to stop a few multi-national companies holding the governments of this world hostage, for the benefit of ALL life on Earth. It's time for clear, objective, unbiased thought. So let's get started...
David Allsopp, UK
Kyoto is probably a good thing, but it won't stop the rise. The Earth is still in the process of coming out of the last ice age. Temperatures have been rising for 10000 years. The process will not stop because we puny humans stop pumping CO2. We overestimate our importance in the scheme of things.
Bring on the endless summers.
This accord was put together after all night sessions in bars and meeting rooms. This means that a load of overtired and possibly intoxicated junket attendees put together an agreement that was really meaningless.
If a commercial deal was completed in this fashion directors and company chairmen would be fired.
To Jeffery from Kansas City. If I suspected that my body was being poisoned would I just ignore it because no-one could give me "clear scientific proof of its causes" or would I go about trying to alleviate the problem just in case? And if I knew my lungs were being rapidly diminished, would I try and halt this or would I let it go on regardless?
The answer seems to be yes in your case, and in fact, this is backed up by the billions who smoke and do no exercise, so I suppose we really are doomed!
In response to AH in Scotland. Yes, every nation does look after its own. The world wants the USA to stay in fierce commercial competition with its rivals, yet have us do it with our hands tied. Sounds like a socialist way of revamping the world economy. If the US reduces its output, I'm sure Europe will step right in and try to take away those markets. This whole Kyoto Protocol is a smokescreen. World climate change is inevitable. Once fertile areas in Biblical times are now deserts. There were famines and droughts long before the advent of the internal combustion engine.
Hazel, UK
Economic costs are involved in the implementation of the Kyoto Protocol. It would appear that the USA would incur substantial economic loss if they comply to the requirements of Kyoto, while China and India, with a total population of over 2 billion, are exempted in toto. This does seem unfair to the US. Kyoto will not succeed if big continents like the USA, China and India do not participate. The USA must not be made to believe that political connivance is in play. In order for Kyoto to succeed, nuances must be identified and managed, together with the minutiae of the agreement and to the full satisfaction of all parties involved. Only then will they show total commitment to its cause.
The comments of Daniel from the USA concern me somewhat. He appears to be saying that the intention of the USA is to look after its own citizens and not those of the rest of the world. Is this the type of world that my children are going to be brought into? One where you look after one's own, forgetting about the rest. Was Live Aid a mistake I ask Daniel? Let's just look after our own interests and see which is the last nation to fall, shall we? I think not.
It is irrelevant whether the U.S. sign up to Kyoto or not; the attitude of their president to the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty show that he is willing to ignore treaties that have already been signed. George Bush, and his apologists (some of them on this site), now claim that human actions are not responsible for global warming.
His sudden mastery of climatology is breathtaking when compared to his knowledge of foreign affairs, and his excuse that he "... won't do anything to harm the U.S. economy ..." is naive; does he believe that there will be no U.S. economy for his children and their children? There will not be if he continues to ignore the facts.
It may not be a perfect treaty but at least somebody is doing something. However, we wouldn't like to disturb Mr. Bush right now with serious environmental issues as he is too busy working on his anti-ballistic system. I was wondering what the States could do if instead of spending so much money for a useless weapon, they had invested it to support the Kyoto agreement.
European leaders must be counting their lucky stars that the US is not participating in the Kyoto treaty. It gives them the convenient opportunity to place blame for any failure to protect the environment on the United States while they can continue to defend their own industries. As the Greens vent their hysterics on "the Toxic Texan", European export industries will continue to quietly flood the US with profit making fossil fuel consuming goods.
One of your contributors suggested that without the US nothing can be decided!
How wrong assumption can be.
In a democratic world a great majority of 178 countries have already decided.
Now it is up to the US administration to accept the voice of democracy or they will be remembered as the Global Dictator, a bully and an outcast.
Add also to that the refusal of US to follow the world on the elimination of chemical weapons, disarmament and mines and you get the picture.
Agreeing to a 2% reduction is one thing, but translating the agreement into practical actions is another.
Adam Ruddermann, Connecticut, USA
Bush is right, the science is shaky and there is no PROOF that manmade CO2 is causing warming. The Earth has always had cycles of warm and cold. If the US had agreed to Kyoto, the world recession this would have caused would cripple the whole world economy.
It'll solve nothing at all. If anything, Kyoto ensures that overall gas emissions will increase, thanks to the developing world getting a free pass. Interesting how no one at all is "pressuring" Beijing to reduce its skyrocketing emissions rates, they are #3 and rising fast, and are exempt from Kyoto entirely. Good job, folks, you guaranteed their becoming the #1 polluter in the world very soon, doubly likely thanks to Kyoto's selective restrictions on some countries, and none on others. Where do you think pollution intensive industry will migrate? Towards countries that are affected by Kyoto? No way.
Why is nothing mentioned about the 40 years of stratospheric nuclear tests, the development of the HAARP project and the effects these projects have had on global weather patterns? Little wonder the USA is reluctant to sign the Kyoto agreement - they obviously know something the rest of us don't.
Daniel, USA
I have an idea. Why don't all the countries of the world pick one day each week, such as Sunday, where all industrial production is prohibited. Give the Earth, and its people, one day of rest each week.
Since so many in the UK are so vastly committed to saving the planet, maybe they should lead by example. You could start at the source by shutting down your North Sea oil production. That would drive oil prices off the scale and "force" us slothful Americans to our bloated and gout-ridden knees. Of course your economy might suffer for a while, but your nanny-state government could squeeze the people more with excessive gas taxes. Hey maybe you can really get back to earth and save money as well by riding mules in the meantime. Just watch for all that methane though, it's a green house gas too! Suffer and
show us the way. Ya'all have fun.
"Global warming" is an unproven theory based on dubious computer models. It's a bit like basing your economic strategy on Tomb Raider. The joke is that European politicians have been taken in by this garbage.
Matthew, USA
It's a good start and refreshing to see that on an issue as important as this, the rest of the world leaders aren't sitting on their hands waiting for the US of A to say it's OK. I hope it leads to a more balanced world as well as a less polluted one. Sure, the developing world needs more energy and it's a perfect opportunity to implement other more environmentally friendly schemes before they get caught as deeply in the fossil fuel trap that we are.
There are two possibilities: Either global warming is caused by manmade CO2 or it's caused by something else. If it is caused by CO2 then Kyoto is way too weak to have an impact so it should be discarded. And if it's not caused by CO2, then Kyoto is an expensive waste of money and effort so it should be discarded. So either way I cannot imagine how any sensible person could support it.
Paul, Boston, US
Having watched environmental moves for much of my life, and having seen the unintended consequences, such as "Biodegradable" detergents leading to eutrophication, or the current MTBE situation, I wonder if we are not being driven off another environmental cliff. There is no guarantee that even total cessation of carbon dioxide emissions would stop whatever degree of global warming is in progress. There were far stronger warming periods during the last interglacial period. Should we allow ourselves to commit to such a far-reaching international shift of priorities without some assurance of success? After all, it was only 30 years ago that climatologists were warning us of the coming of the next ice age.
Mohamed Ali, UK
From the comments on this Talking Point it appears that the Europeans are convinced that current and future global temperatures are and will be heavily influenced by human activity. In our country this is still a hotly debated subject, with new data being released and studied all the time. My question is, why are you convinced and what authority has convinced you?
I notice many Americans pointing their fingers at China and India. Just shows you soundbites and spin have usurped facts! The US Energy Department recently reported that China's emissions are down 17% in the past five years. Moreover India and China combined with 2.3 billion population emit less than the US with 285 million people. Most people outside America know these facts and laugh at the spin the US media generates.
Dominique Bikindou, France (currently living in Germany)
When the rest of the world finally gets fed up with the Greens telling them what to do, the US will be there with, "I told you so." It's all a big charade.
While I agree with those who slag off the US, we must remember that the other 75% of greenhouse gases come from the rest of the world, i.e. ourselves, and that we can do something about that 75%. If we collectively reduced our emissions to just under one third of their present value then the US would not just be the world's biggest polluter it would have the dubious accolade of polluting more than everyone else put together.
John R, UK
As the Chinese proverb goes: a journey of a thousand miles also begins with the first step. Well done world, at least we have a beginning to this journey. Strange how the country with the highest obesity rates in the world cannot even take one step for fear of stumbling (sic).
The level of sneering anti-Americanism really is repellant! And people wonder why they are increasingly isolationist? Sometimes I am embarassed to be European.
Addressing Di Stewart's disagreement with pollution permit trading. Actually this is one of the most effective ways to reduce overall pollution and to encourage innovation. I'd also like to say to people outside the US, please keep pressuring, arguing, boycotting, etc. Make our leaders listen to you, because the USA is behaving terribly at this point. Voters like me do a lot of lobbying but we need your continued help too.
John, UK
I see that most US contributors of this discussion are mentioning India
and China as the most significant world polluters, and unless they get on board, the US has every right not to participate. Is this the kind of
leadership that the only remaining superpower is offering? This sounds
more like a talk of a spoilt brat than a serious reason for not trying to save what we have left of this planet. I am of the opinion that us,
humans, are here just temporarily, and that this what we have should
be available unspoilt to the future generations. How selfish to think
of this in economic sense, to provide us with better living conditions, and not to care about our children and grandchildren. On the basis of what are they going to be able to sustain their living standards?
Mick B, UK
At the end of the day a 2% reduction is so pathetic it really doesn't matter if the US refuse to co-operate. We need a larger reduction to make a worthwhile change. The US should be forced to co-operate otherwise we will all continue to be bullied by that "oh-so-wonderful" country.
Countries, particularly European ones are adept at convening and poor in implementations.
I think claims that America won't sign until India and China are held accountable are ludicrous. Facts have proven that America represents 6% of the global population and 25% of toxic emissions. They are the WORST polluters and sniping "we won't join until others have to as well" is childish. Shape up! Take responsibility and set an example. Not only that but each and every modern nation has been allowed a period of industrialisation in order to develop growth. We must, as developed powers, allow these poorer countries to go through the same process in order to let them catch up with the rest of the world. Once they have done so then we can implement policies alongside them. We cannot limit the growth of under-developed nations but we can take responsibility for our emissions as modern industrialised societies.
Putting one's economy or refusing to sign because those still trying to catch up don't is inexcusable. America deserves the scorn it gets. I am just glad the other 94% of the global population thinks that they should act maturely and do something to protect our future - even if it means putting it higher up on the agenda over monetary matters. The 178 countries that signed should be proud of themselves. America should hang its head in shame.
Shawn, Washington DC, USA
One small step - this time in the right direction - for the whole of mankind.
Yes Simon (England), this climate deal could very well be seen as the World Cup without US, America not playing ball.
The climate deal is a start- now they should start to walk the talk, not just talk the walk. The US has not agreed to it, so the deal will probably fail because the other countries will see US getting away with things, which under the treaty, you wouldn't.
It is often said that a journey of 1,000 miles begins with a single step and it is also the case with Kyoto. Even though the cuts in emissions are only small once the whole alternative fuel and technologies industries gets into full swing the reductions will not only be easy to meet but also desirable. I can envisage that the next round of emissions cuts would be far more ambitious. The benefits of reduced reliance on fossil fuels are that not only is the cost of fuel less but we would be less prone to fluctuations in price and availability. After all, who wants an energy crisis - just ask the Americans.
Trenton, United States
Diluted it may be, but a bird in the hand is worth many more in the "Bush". Now that we have an agreement, we can work to develop the infrastructure and mechanisms to a) deliver real GHG reductions in the developed world and b) promote technologies in developing countries that will help them to base economic growth on a much more sustainable footing than we managed. George Bush may well protect a few jobs today, but corporate America will soon learn to embrace energy efficiency if it is to be truly competitive in the new World market
It seems that the United States is going to be ridiculed for not entering into a treaty which is designed to fight a problem that doesn't exist. When natural factors are removed from the observational temperature record, no trend remains. That means that anthropogenic climate change isn't happening, and any economic losses incurred as a result of climate treaties such as Kyoto will be in vain. Eventually, after the predicted warming fails to materialize, the world will recognize the wisdom of American politicians' rejection of such treaties.
George Milton, USA and Italy
This is the same deal Al Gore proposed when he went over to Europe a couple of years ago and the EU was so firm in its opposition to it. This is what makes the EU so hypocritical. They say we can't change this protocol in the least. The next thing you know, they back down and give in. If this new protocol was in effect all along the US would have never of vetoed this. I here that this is a victory for the EU but they just sold out their principles because of a little US pressure. The US once again shows the world who is the leader.
I really am amused by the complete lack of understanding displayed by those who suggest a boycott of US goods. The fact is, the US gets 11% of its GDP from trade, by far the least of any industrialised nation. Most US foreign trade is with Canada and Mexico whose economies are fully and inseparably integrated with our own.
Eric, Australia
The whole watered down agreement is a sham and President Bush was right refusing to participate in it. Without huge polluters such as China and India the agreement is useless. Besides, even if all countries on earth would sign and implement an agreement requiring 50% real cuts it still would not help much since man-made CO2 amounts to roughly 3% of the total. Since 97% percent is produced naturally should we penalise Mother Nature and demand that she cuts harmful emissions (including volcanic pollutants)?
Hugh, UK
Shawn (USA) says this treaty without the USA is like soccer without a ball. No, Shawn, it is like World Cup soccer without the USA; a great and serious international participation.
This is definitely a good sign. All the countries that signed the Kyoto Protocol have at least indicated that global warming is happening and want to take steps to the reduce pollution. I'm sure some countries will not be able to meet even these reduced targets, but in a few years time they might be able to meet them. I hope the EU continues with its original plan to reduce pollution and not take the easy option of saying that we are already within our limits. I'm also glad to see that other nations have decided to proceed with Kyoto, despite America.
Kathy Sadler, UK
In practical terms this agreement isn't worth the recycled paper its written on. So why have an agreement at all? In a word: ego. The new agreement is nothing more then a diplomatic device designed to save face. A pollution reducing treaty without the participation of the US, is like trying to play soccer without a ball...pointless. Anyone ever wander what happened with that League of Nations thing? Come back in a few years when your ready for a real treaty. One that holds India and China to the same standards as everyone else.
The Kyoto Treaty is tokenism at its very worst and at best is an appeasement to "green" voters. The whole thing should have been thrown out and rewritten from ground zero. The fact that one party to the Treaty can over pollute and buy "credits" from another less polluting party is laughable. Who is going to enforce this Treaty? Will parties to the treaty who over pollute be fined? Who decides how much? Will fines help global warming. The whole issue is utterly laughable.
It is a very important step in the right direction. At last the conscience of the world seems to have managed to overcome the boundaries of individual countries. The US, however, seems to have missed a historic opportunity to assert its moral leadership. It made a considerable strategic mistake.
Andi-Tsuyoshi Williams, Japan
Even if Kyoto-light only isolates the United States, it would still be a huge success for the treaty and the progressive world. The United States were (and are) against the Kyoto treaty because their green industry is in its infancy stage and cannot compete with the highly sophisticated green industries in Europe and Japan. I do think that the EU needs to be aware of Japan's commitment to this treaty though, because even if it is signed and ratified by the Diet (Japan's parliament) it still does not mean that other parts of the Japanese system will adhere to the deal, due to the fact that the buck does not stop anywhere in Japan.
There is no point going into something as vital as this half-heartedly. It should not be watered down and countries who object to parts of the treaty should be forced to accept by sanctions, etc. The long-term effects are far far more important than the short-term economic effects. It would help if America would stop acting like the spoil brat and follow suit with the rest of the world, but then Oil is more important there. So the global warming theory will still be ridiculed when Florida is under water along with a lot of the present East and West Coasts. It's a start and that's something but it should not be watered down because one country does not like it.
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