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Monday, June 8, 1998 Published at 16:39 GMT 17:39 UK


Business: The Economy

The bets are on a strong euro

More colourful than the US-$ - and stronger as well?

Continental European fund managers are confident that the euro will be a strong currency, according to a new survey.

They expect the EU's new single currency to strengthen over the US dollar, with 61% liking the euro's prospects during the coming year, versus 28% choosing the dollar.

The Merrill Lynch Gallup Global survey for June polled 67 financial institutions responsible for assets totalling $1,085bn.

And their views were backed up by a report from the Bank for International Settlements, the central bankers' organisation. It said that on a purchasing power basis the dollar was signficantly over-valued.

"Investor enthusiasm for the euro is based on expectations of significantly more restrictive monetary policy in the euro-zone," said Bryan Allworthy, European equity strategist at Merrill Lynch in London.

He said most of the fund managers surveyed expected the European Central Bank to operate a "tighter-than-necessary policy to gain credibility in the financial markets as quickly as possible."

Despite the prospect of a hard euro, analysts believe that corporate profits in Europe will grow, boosted by high domestic demand and further corporate restructuring.





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