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Friday, 3 May, 2002, 06:08 GMT 07:08 UK
Mixed bag for leaders
More than 22m people were able to vote
The Labour vote held up well in the polls, despite fears that disillusion and apathy would hit them hard. There was some cheer for Iain Duncan Smith whose Tory party staged a minor recovery in London.
Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats were ready to celebrate yet another decent, if not sensational local performance. But, as all parties prepared to claim victory, there were two worrying signs - the election of far-right BNP candidates in Burnley and a man in a monkey suit in Hartlepool. They may be fringe events, but they have given all the major parties something to think about as they start their post-election analysis. Cheering supporters The prime minister will be particularly delighted that voters do not appear to have used the local poll to express serious dissatisfaction with his government. Similarly he will be also pleased at the turnout which, while still far from satisfactory, suggests the years of deep apathy may be ending. Despite a second landslide general election victory, there have been persistent signs that voters were both disappointed with Labour's performance and disillusioned with the political process in general and politicians in particular. The downside for the prime minister, however, will be suggestions that it was Gordon Brown wot won it. There appears little doubt that his controversial, tax-and-spend budget not only boosted interest in politics, but managed to re-engage core Labour voters. He may have spooked some middle England voters whose pay packets will be hit by his tax increases. Fresh signs of life But traditional, Labour heartlands voters appear to have been brought back into the fold. Still, with another four years to go to the next general election, ministers will be delighted that their worst fears do not appear to have been borne out. Iain Duncan Smith appears to have less to smile about. He would have liked to have seen a real advance for the Tories, who are just beginning to show fresh signs of life after five years in the wilderness. But the results suggest that revival is still some way off. Too early to judge The Tories may have eased into a slight lead overall, but they are far short of the turnaround they were hoping for. The party will take some comfort from a smattering of victories, particularly in London, but there will be an air of disappointment in central office that they could not manage more. Clearly it is far too early to claim the results give a definitive verdict on Mr Duncan Smith's leadership. He has been in the job less than a year and would be the first to accept that he has a long battle ahead of him rebuilding the party from the ground up. Charles Kennedy will be happy the Liberal Democrats gained some seats, but disappointed they did not do better. BNP election He and his party had the best general election campaign last year and have been advancing since 1997. But Mr Kennedy is also experienced enough to know that whatever advances his party makes in the local polls, there is always the likelihood they will slip back in general elections. But one thing all the major parties will be disappointed about will be the election of the far right BNP in Burnley. Unexpected expected All the mainstream leaders had urged people to go out and vote to stop the BNP, particularly in the wake of Jean Marie Le Pen's first round success in the French Presidential election. Unlike Le Pen, the BNP has never been more than a fringe group in British politics. All the analysing of the results, however, must come with a giant health warning against using them to predict the outcome of a general election campaign. With up to four years to go before that poll, virtually anything can happen and only the unexpected can be guaranteed.
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