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Last Updated: Monday, 30 October 2006, 13:00 GMT
At-a-glance: The Stern Review
STERN REVIEW
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The world has to act now on climate change or face devastating economic consequences, according to a report compiled by Sir Nicholas Stern for the UK government.

Here are the key points of the review written by the former chief economist of the World Bank.

TEMPERATURE

  • Carbon emissions have already pushed up global temperatures by half a degree Celsius

  • If no action is taken on emissions, there is more than a 75% chance of global temperatures rising between two and three degrees Celsius over the next 50 years

  • There is a 50% chance that average global temperatures could rise by five degrees Celsius

    ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT

  • Melting glaciers will increase flood risk

  • Crop yields will decline, particularly in Africa

  • Rising sea levels could leave 200 million people permanently displaced

  • Up to 40% of species could face extinction
  • There will be more examples of extreme weather patterns
  • ECONOMIC IMPACT

  • Extreme weather could reduce global gross domestic product (GDP) by up to 1%

  • A two to three degrees Celsius rise in temperatures could reduce global economic output by 3%

  • If temperatures rise by five degrees Celsius, up to 10% of global output could be lost. The poorest countries would lose more than 10% of their output

  • In the worst case scenario global consumption per head would fall 20%

  • To stabilise at manageable levels, emissions would need to stabilise in the next 20 years and fall between 1% and 3% after that. This would cost 1% of GDP

    OPTIONS FOR CHANGE

  • Reduce consumer demand for heavily polluting goods and services

  • Make global energy supply more efficient
  • Act on non-energy emissions - preventing further deforestation would go a long way towards alleviating this source of carbon emissions
  • Promote cleaner energy and transport technology, with non-fossil fuels accounting for 60% of energy output by 2050
  • GOVERNMENT RESPONSE

  • Create a global market for carbon pricing

  • Extend the European Emissions Trading Scheme (EETS) globally, bringing in countries such as the US, India and China

  • Set new target for EETS to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2020 and 60% by 2050

  • Pass a bill to enshrine carbon reduction targets and create a new independent body to monitor progress

  • Create a new commission to spearhead British company investment in green technology, with the aim of creating 100,000 new jobs

  • Former US vice-president Al Gore will advise the government on the issue

  • Work with the World Bank and other financial institutions to create a $20bn fund to help poor countries adjust to climate change challenges

  • Work with Brazil, Papua New Guinea and Costa Rica to promote sustainable forestry and prevent deforestation




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